Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.305627 0.356173 0.409594 0.469985 0.536084 0.605969 0.685179
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.234856 0.303493 0.380797 0.473211 0.579601 0.697220 0.836053
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.176184 0.253177 0.345544 0.461912 0.602058 0.763018 0.959457
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.143224 0.227291 0.334069 0.474785 0.650645 0.858812 1.119453
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.110126 0.195020 0.309628 0.467722 0.672569 0.922062 1.241899
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.094083 0.182985 0.309210 0.489725 0.730152 1.029238 1.419267
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075207 0.163032 0.294964 0.491081 0.759864 1.101470 1.554594
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.060324 0.146205 0.282649 0.493055 0.789104 1.172683 1.689189
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.050608 0.136005 0.278641 0.505631 0.832094 1.261790 1.847440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043426 0.128805 0.278157 0.522592 0.880912 1.358929 2.017128
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037277 0.122193 0.277627 0.538868 0.928654 1.455083 2.186666
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029190 0.109370 0.264950 0.535189 0.947118 1.511658 2.304781
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023674 0.100981 0.259325 0.542557 0.982402 1.592802 2.458284
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017650 0.089165 0.245833 0.536039 0.996565 1.644890 2.573760
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011938 0.075383 0.226400 0.517854 0.991902 1.670057 2.652904
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009512 0.070496 0.223997 0.528165 1.030600 1.756518 2.816005
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006424 0.061203 0.210820 0.518452 1.037469 1.797424 2.917048
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005507 0.060087 0.215454 0.540706 1.095017 1.911777 3.120384
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.003883 0.054356 0.208616 0.541366 1.117892 1.976088 3.255006
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002677 0.049354 0.202631 0.542999 1.142035 2.042300 3.392749
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002031 0.046973 0.202767 0.556124 1.185033 2.136616 3.570659
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001607 0.045637 0.205382 0.574021 1.236096 2.243310 3.766793
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001246 0.044255 0.207656 0.591242 1.286280 2.349222 3.962732